Planet
Earth’s rotation has slown down and scientists are saying this is a sign there
will be an increase in earthquakes in 2018. According to The Guardian, Earth’s
change in speed could potentially trigger severe seismic activities, with a
particular focus on densely populated tropical regions.
While we may
not notice the variations in Earth’s speed we will most certainly feel its
effects in the number of earthquakes it could potentially dole out.
According to
Forbes, Geophysicists have been measuring Earth’s rotation speed carefully and
they believe its slow down is linked to a ‘cyclical increase in earthquakes’.
Their study
began with an analysis of every earthquake to have taken place since 1900 which
reached a magnitude of 7.0 or above. What the research team were looking for
was an ‘occurrence of large earthquakes’. What they discovered was around every
32 years there was an ‘uptick’ in the amount of ‘significant earthquakes’
across Earth.
As with all
research teams they needed to find out why this pattern was emerging, so they
compared their findings with a number of ‘global historical datasets’, one of
which happened to show a significant link in to an increase in Earthquakes to
the slowing down of Earth’s rotation.
A much more
detailed analysis showed around every 25-to-30 years Earth’s rotation would
start to drop, this decrease in speed happened to be a foreshadowing for an
‘uptick in earthquakes’.
Historically,
it shows slow downs last for five years, with the final year being the increase
in devastating earthquakes.
So how does
this relate to where we are now, well this is the 4th consecutive year in which
Earth’s rotation has slowed down significantly, which means next year – 2018 –
is the last of year five year slow down. Ergo we should brace ourselves for
some devastating seismic activity.
While we may
not know why these five year slow downs occur or what triggers them, the team
of geologists offer a few reasonable hypotheses/theories.
One possible
explanation points to Earth’s core, it’s believed the outer core can – at times
– stick to the mantle, resulting in a ‘disruption’ to its flow. This alters
Earth’s magnetic field and produces a temporary stutter in the rotation.
It’s worth
pointing out, before you get start building your own makeshift earthquake
shelter on a modest budget, their data only points to a ‘striking correlation’
there’s no concrete proof it correlates to an increase in earthquakes.
Despite
there being no confirmed link between Earth’s rotation and earthquake events,
their findings do point to a potential increase in seismic activity next year,
which could hit magnitudes of 7.0 or greater.
Earthquakes
have been known to be the most difficult of natural disasters to predict, they
usually take place with little-to-no pre-warning and can therefore be highly destructive.
However these latest findings can help us better understand when earthquakes
could strike and how best to prepare for them.
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